A former adviser to the Russian authorities has warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin may threat dropping energy if he escalates the continuing battle in Ukraine.
Andrey Kortunov, a former adviser to the committee on worldwide relations of the Russian Duma, instructed BBC‘s As we speak program on Thursday morning that Putin wanted successful he may current to the Russian folks.
“At least he needs something that he can present to his constituency at home as victory,” Kortunov mentioned.
“The question is, how much is enough? And if you follow his most recent statements—I think just two days ago he made another statement arguing that the sole mission of this operation in Ukraine is to protect the people of Donbas—if this is the case, that implies that it’s not about a regime change in Ukraine,” he mentioned.
“It’s not about destroying Ukraine in its current form but rather about securing the gains that Russia has achieved in the east of the country,” Kortunov went on. “I think that this is something that has to be somehow verified or falsified within the next couple of days.”
Kortunov, who’s at the moment Director Common of the Russian Worldwide Affairs Council, instructed that Putin may need to have interaction in escalation to make sure that victory however that this might carry political dangers.
“Well, the question is of course, about the price the Kremlin’s ready to pay for continuing this operation,” Kortunov mentioned.
“And some people here in Moscow argue that in order to continue, the Kremlin will have to escalate and that might imply both horizontal and vertical escalation that might require even some kind of limited mobilization,” he mentioned.
“But if it happens, then I think political risks for the Russian leadership will increase because people in Russia [do] not really want to go fighting against Ukrainians,” he went on.
“At least the majority of the Russian population, in my view, is not bloodthirsty and definitely the public support of the leadership might go down if this whole thing escalates or if this whole thing lasts for too long,” he mentioned.
The interviewer requested Kortunov whether or not Putin was underneath any actual political strain given his huge private energy and he agreed that authority in Russia is “highly centralized.”
Nevertheless, Kortunov mentioned that a few of Putin’s advisers seemingly had issues concerning the scenario, significantly the financial system, which has been affected by sanctions.
“I see signs of fatigue,” Kortunov mentioned. “I think that, you know, there is a natural kind of tiredness about the whole situation. Maybe it’s too early to say that the Russian public is changing its views on the conflict, but definitely it cannot last for too long.”
Newsweek has requested the Russian Overseas Ministry for remark.